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Economy
Banking
NY Fed DSGE Model Update: Economic Growth and Inflation Projections for 2026
The March 2026 DSGE model update from the New York Fed predicts stronger economic growth and persistent inflation, influenced by i...
Banking
Firms Anticipate Lower Inflation in 2026 Following 2025 Price Increases
A recent survey indicates businesses expect inflation rates to stabilize at 3% in the near future, reflecting a drop in inflation...
Banking
Rising Health Insurance Costs and Their Impact on Wage Growth: An Analysis
Employer-sponsored health insurance costs are rising sharply, impacting wage growth across various sectors, as firms struggle to m...
Banking
Cost Pressures Intensify for Businesses in 2025
In 2025, businesses in the New York-Northern New Jersey region experienced heightened cost pressures driven primarily by surging i...
Banking
Examining the Trends and Metrics of Global R* Post-Pandemic
This analysis explores the recent changes in global and U.S. r*, highlighting the significant rise following the COVID-19 pandemic...
Banking
Economic Burden of 2025 U.S. Tariffs: Who Actually Pays?
Nearly 90% of the costs from increased tariffs in 2025 burdened U.S. firms and consumers, highlighting significant shifts in impor...
Banking
Inflation Dynamics and the Slope of the Phillips Curve: Insights from New Data
A recent analysis reveals that the Phillips curve steepens with larger cost shocks, indicating a nonlinear relationship between in...
Banking
Reassessing the Phillips Curve: A Steeper Perspective on Inflation Dynamics
New research challenges the traditional view of the Phillips curve, revealing a stronger link between inflation and marginal costs...
Banking
Small Businesses Face Ongoing Challenges According to New York Fed's Economic Heterogeneity Indicators
The New York Fed's Economic Heterogeneity Indicators reveal that small businesses, particularly in the tri-state area, continue to...
Banking
New York Fed Enhances Economic Heterogeneity Indicators with Consumer Spending Data
A new dataset from the New York Fed offers insights into consumer spending trends, revealing disparities among demographics and hi...
Banking
Reevaluating Import Price Inflation: The Impact of Quality Adjustments
New research suggests that traditional measures of import price inflation significantly overstate costs by failing to account for...
Banking
Earnings Disparities in the Labor Market for Workers with Disabilities
Workers with disabilities earn significantly less than their non-disabled counterparts, with earnings trends remaining stagnant in...
Banking
Labor Market Dynamics for Individuals with Disabilities: A Post-Pandemic Overview
Employment rates for individuals with disabilities have improved post-pandemic, driven by increased labor force participation, tho...
Banking
Labor Market Tightness: Insights from the Updated HPW Index and Wage Inflation Forecasting
The HPW Index shows promising accuracy in forecasting wage inflation, reflecting current labor market conditions and introducing m...
Markets
The Challenges and Adaptations of Carbon Tax Effectiveness in Europe
This analysis explores how firms adapt to carbon taxes by seeking low-emission inputs from outside regulated economies, illustrate...
Banking
Understanding the Role of Transformative Entrepreneurs in Economic Growth
A new study from Denmark reveals how transformative entrepreneurs drive productivity, highlighting risk factors that policymakers...
Economy
Analyzing Google's Impact on Market Dynamics: The Secondary Ticketing Issue
Rory Sutherland highlights Google's effect on consumer choices, especially in concert ticketing, where ads favor scalpers over pri...
Banking
Economic Insights from the New York Fed's December 2025 DSGE Model Forecast
The December 2025 DSGE model forecast from the New York Fed reveals stronger growth projections, rising inflation rates, and adjus...
Banking
How Firms Navigate Pricing Decisions Amidst Market Dynamics
This article reveals insights from businesses on pricing strategies, highlighting the delicate balance between margins, sales volu...
Banking
Evaluating the Persistence of Seasonal Trends in U.S. Monetary Policy
Recent analysis reveals that U.S. monetary policy continues to exhibit seasonal patterns, driven primarily by the scheduling of FO...