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Research emphasizes that bank failures predominantly arise from insolvency issues rather than liquidity crises, with significant implications for financial stab...
New data indicates that retail spending growth since 2023 has been predominantly driven by high-income households, showcasing a K-shaped economic recovery.
Recent data highlights a K-shaped economy, where high-income households show increasing spending and wealth, while low-income groups face rising inflation and s...
U.S. trade dynamics with China are changing, with a growing deficit with ASEAN and noticeable shifts in high-tech sectors, driven by geopolitics and tariffs.
A recent analysis reveals significant disparities in gasoline spending across income groups following a price surge, highlighting a K-shaped response in consump...
Recent stresses in nonbank financial institutions (NBFIs) appear to translate into strain for banks, raising concerns about their interconnectedness and credit...
Recent geopolitical tensions are escalating supply chain pressures, particularly affecting AI infrastructure growth, as dependencies on Middle Eastern resources...
Recent analysis of job postings indicates that the influence of AI on labor demand is limited, with no significant changes linked directly to the release of Cha...
The U.S. investment income surplus is diminishing due to rising interest rates and increasing foreign asset sales, marking a significant financial shift.
The global corporate bond market, valued at $19 trillion, exhibits significant synchronization in returns influenced by a newly defined global credit factor.
AI's current capital-intensive model raises short-term costs without immediate productivity gains, presenting inflation and financial stability risks.
Trend Wage Inflation has plateaued after a decline, indicating a stabilized labor market, but sector-specific dynamics could influence future wage growth.
Recent data highlights escalating food insecurity, especially among lower-income households, correlating with declining consumer sentiment across the U.S.
Regional consumer spending indicators reveal a pronounced K-shaped spending pattern, particularly in gasoline expenditures, presenting significant disparities a...
Remote work significantly contributes to youth unemployment, particularly among young college graduates, as firms struggle to mentor new hires effectively.
Small businesses in the Second District report significant declines in revenue and employment for 2025, leading to stark pessimism for 2026 prospects.
Research shows that interest rate caps in several U.S. states led to significant declines in loan balances for risky borrowers, without reducing delinquencies.
Interest rate caps in several states have shifted lending practices, resulting in reduced credit for high-risk borrowers and increased lending to safer ones.
The New York Fed's DSGE model revises inflation forecasts upward for 2026, reflecting higher core PCE inflation and moderated GDP growth expectations.
Synthetic stablecoins like Ethena's USDe can amplify financial shocks, leading to rapid liquidation in the crypto market. Their structural intricacies pose uniq...